Что ожидает рынки во втором квартале этого года? Как повлияют на них события происходящие в мире. Какой дьявол поджидает инвесторов?
Вторая четверть может быть не очень веселой. Но, по крайней мере, мы будем к ней готовы.
Качели первого квартала 2022 года подошли к концу на этой неделе, когда основные фондовые индексы показали худшие результаты за два года. Растущая инфляция, вторжение России в Украину и ускорение плана Федеральной резервной системы по повышению процентной ставки создали ряд уникальных проблем для инвесторов.
Что ожидает рынки?
Эти проблемы сохранятся и во втором квартале. Но часто дьявол, которого ты знаешь, лучше дьявола, которого ты не знаешь.
По мнению аналитиков, какие, по их прогнозам, будут самые большие препятствия в этом квартале, и как они готовятся к ним. Вот что мы нашли.
Геополитические волнения:
Вторжение России в Украину ошеломило рынки по всему миру. Геополитические волнения затронули энергетические рынки, сырьевые товары и даже проблемы продовольственной безопасности.
Джош Леонарди, директор по основным услугам в TD Securities, ищет сырьевые рынки, где продается сырье, чтобы застраховаться от конфликта с Россией. Особенно он любит пшеницу. Около четверти мировых поставок пшеницы приходится на Россию и Украину. Будущие контракты на урожай переполнены, так как предложение становится недостаточным, но спрос остается прежним.
Вероятно, лучше не делать ставки на нефть и энергоносители. Потому что эти товары отличаются особой волатильностью и реагируют на обновления новостей.
Инфляция:
США в настоящее время борются с инфляционной проблемой, подобной которой они не видели уже 40 лет. И поэтому пришло время обратить внимание на реальные активы в качестве страховки от инфляции, сказал Леонарди. Это означает инвестирование в товары, недвижимость, землю, оборудование и природные ресурсы.
По его словам, интерес к инвестициям в недвижимость стремительно растет. «Я не знаю, есть ли что-нибудь более горячее на рынке прямо сейчас. У вас есть все, от домов на одну и несколько семей до центров обработки данных и холодильных хранилищ».
Инвестируя в рынки, обратите внимание на компании, которые зарабатывают деньги на всплесках инфляции. Банки зарабатывают больше, поскольку процентные ставки растут, и они получают прибыль от более широких
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